Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.125120 0.147207 0.171897 0.201522 0.236087 0.275124 0.322546
2025-11-09 0.087294 0.114247 0.147564 0.191701 0.248565 0.319294 0.413901
2025-11-16 0.069139 0.097982 0.136409 0.191191 0.267129 0.368514 0.514012
2025-11-23 0.055541 0.084085 0.124545 0.185828 0.276037 0.403663 0.597642
2025-11-30 0.048028 0.076980 0.120273 0.189350 0.296406 0.455549 0.709556
2025-12-07 0.041408 0.069883 0.114565 0.189279 0.310547 0.498975 0.813143
2025-12-14 0.035244 0.062392 0.106932 0.184699 0.316404 0.529531 0.899373
2025-12-21 0.030946 0.057261 0.102247 0.183988 0.327941 0.569728 1.004948
2025-12-28 0.028530 0.054992 0.101980 0.190549 0.352231 0.633225 1.156246
2026-01-04 0.026691 0.053464 0.102730 0.198846 0.380298 0.705870 1.331090
2026-01-11 0.024619 0.051168 0.101722 0.203654 0.402364 0.769906 1.497028
2026-01-18 0.022273 0.047981 0.098581 0.203908 0.415696 0.819066 1.640221
2026-01-25 0.019333 0.043320 0.092278 0.197806 0.417307 0.848939 1.755442
2026-02-01 0.016453 0.038356 0.084727 0.188244 0.410994 0.863235 1.843042
2026-02-08 0.014776 0.035756 0.081720 0.187753 0.423270 0.915900 2.014608
2026-02-15 0.012954 0.032519 0.076855 0.182484 0.424516 0.945760 2.141699
2026-02-22 0.011990 0.031149 0.075952 0.185944 0.445361 1.019358 2.371342
2026-03-01 0.010904 0.029301 0.073674 0.185874 0.458107 1.076633 2.571386
2026-03-08 0.009686 0.026918 0.069779 0.181375 0.459850 1.109353 2.719264
2026-03-15 0.008820 0.025313 0.067561 0.180676 0.470599 1.163865 2.924158
2026-03-22 0.008399 0.024842 0.068137 0.187123 0.499803 1.265053 3.252188
2026-03-29 0.008082 0.024613 0.069308 0.195274 0.534344 1.382906 3.634311
2026-04-05 0.007636 0.023939 0.069201 0.199999 0.560576 1.483151 3.983692